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Case Study: Searching for Mortgage Prospects

By Jim Bruene on June 5, 2003 10:12 AM | Comments (0)

Amidst the current refi frenzy, it’s not surprising that 2 of the 5 most-searched-on banking phrases are “mortgage(s)” and “mortgage calculator(s).” And the competition to advertise next to those search results is equally frenzied. For example, on Overture you’d have to pay more than $3 per click to be listed among the top four advertisers on any of the major mortgage-related keyword phrases.

Costs appear to be similar at Google. Its estimating tool recently predicted a per-click cost of $2.70 to be in the top-3 slots. Our test ad, which ran for just a few minutes, racked up 665 impressions and 5 clicks at an average price of $3.70 per click. However, we were attempting to be number one with a maximum bid amount of $10. While we did hit number one a few times, it appears our ad was usually number two, since our average bid position was 1.9. If we’d continued advertising on “mortgage” Google estimated we’d get 1,100 clicks per day for a total cost of about $3,000/day, or $90,000/month
(see Table 1).

If your advertising budget falls somewhat below
$1 million per year, you can still advertise for mortgage shoppers, you just have to choose more targeted search terms that bigger players don’t bother with. As you can see in Table 14, a lower-volume search phrases can be used to target mortgage shoppers at a lower cost-per-click.

For example, you can target buyers within certain geographic boundaries such as city or state. In our tests “mortgage + yourcity” generally had a significantly lower CPC (Table 8, right). However, on the state level (“mortgage + yourstate”), the costs varied considerably by state. On average, it was more expensive to add a state to the search phrase. The top four bidders on plain “mortgages” paid an average of $3.12 per click on May 29. On average the top four bidders on “mortgages + state” paid $3.60 per click, a 15% premium.

However, there was a wide variety in bids. Bid amounts primarily depend on the value of the mortgages sought by Web users of a given state combined with the propensity for those shoppers to get a mortgage from a company they visited.
For example, in California where mortgages values are high and many Internet users are experienced and willing to apply online, “mortgage California” sells for more than $9.00 per click, three times the rate of plain “mortgage.” However, in states where mortgage amounts are far lower, prices are considerably below average. For example, “mortgage South Dakota” is only $1.59 per click, about half the unmodified rate.

A mortgage company operating in the Pacific Northwest would expect to only pay about $400/month to maintain the top position on “mortgage + Oregon or Washington or Seattle or Portland” (see Table 8, below). Of course, the volume would be just a fraction of the “mortgage” volume, less than 150 prospects per month, at a cost of slightly under $3 each. But you’d only have to book a single mortgage for a reasonable payback on the expense.

Table 1

Google AdWords Cost Estimates for
Nationwide Mortgage Advertising

for AdWords pay-per-click

Search Term

Clicks/
Day

Cost/
Click

Cost/
Day

Average Position

mortgage

1,100

$2.71

$2,972

1.2

refinance

270

$4.60

$1,241

1.2

mortgages

190

$3.59

$680

1.1

home loan

64

$4.42

$283

1.4

refinancing

50

$4.01

$200

1.5

Overall

1,674

$3.21

$5,376

1.2

Source: Google, 6/2/03; assumes maximum bid amount of $10 per click

Table 2

Google AdWords Cost Estimates for
Pacific Northwest Mortgage Advertising

for AdWords pay-per-click

Search Term

Clicks/
Day

Cost/
Click

Cost/
Day

Average Position

Mortgage Oregon

0.8

$1.97

$1.61

1.0

Mortgage Portland

0.5

$2.67

$1.41

1.0

Mortgage Washington

2.3

$3.46

$7.94

1.0

Mortgage Seattle

0.8

$2.32

$1.85

1.0

Overall

4.5

$2.88

$12.82

1.0

Source: Google, 6/2/03; Assumes maximum bid amount of $10 per click; excludes the word “mutual” to avoid searches on “Washington Mutual Mortgage.”


 
 

Table 3

Household Income of Mortgage Searchers

mortgage searchers vs. total Internet, March 2003

Income Group

% of Mtg. Searchers

Total Internet

Index

Less than $25,000

8%

12%

67

$25,000 - $49,999

22%

29%

75

$50,000 - $74,999

29%

22%

133

$75,000 - $99,999

14%

16%

86

$100,000+

27%

21%

132

 

100%

100%

100

Source: comScore Media Metrix qSearch, 5/03                          mtg. = mortgage

Table 4

Mortgage Sites Visited by Mortgage Searchers

March 2003

Website

Unique Mtg. Searchers

% of All Mtg. Searchers

bankrate.com

275,000

15%

realtor.com

266,000

14%

mortgageexpo.com

251,000

14%

lendingtree.com

235,000

13%

wellsfargo.com

179,000

10%

homestead.com

143,000

8%

homestore.com

133,000

7%

ameriquestmortgage.com

126,000

7%

bankofamerica.com

125,000

7%

citibank.com

125,000

7%

Total

1,860,000

100%

Source: comScore Media Metrix qSearch, 5/03   mtg = mortgage

Table 5

Mortgage Searches by Location

March 2003

Consumer Location

Number of Searched

Share of U.S. Mtg. Searches

Share of WW Mtg. Searches

School

85,000

2.2%

1.8%

Work

2,680,000

69%

55%

Home

1,230,000

32%

25%

Total U.S.

3,910,000

100%

82%

Non-U.S.

849,000

n/a

18%

TOTAL

4,840,000

--

100%

Source: comScore Media Metrix qSearch, 5/03   mtg = mortgage


 

Table 6

Mortgage Searches by Search Engine

estimated searches in March 2003

Search Engine

Mortgage Searches

% of Mortgage Searches2

Total Search Engine Share3

google.com

1.4 mil

29%

37%

yahoo.com

1.2 mil

24%

24%

msn.com

780,000

16%

19%

AOL (prop & Web)

530,000

11%

9%

teoma.com

160,000

3.2%

0.1%

ask.com

130,000

2.6%

1.7%

netscape.com

87,000

1.8%

0.9%

overture.com1

53,000

1.1%

0.7%

CompuServe

30,000

0.6%

0.2%

Dogpile

30,000

0.6%

0.6%

Total

4.8 mil

100%

 

Source: comScore, 5/06/03, estimates for the March 2003

(1) Includes only searches done at Overture.com, Overture also displays paid listings at MSN, Yahoo, AOL, and other search engines.

(2) Percent of searches on any mortgage-related term

(3) Percent of all searches, mortgage and non-mortgage.

 

 

In March, MortgageExpo was the second-most popular mortgage related site among mortgage searchers, attracting 250,000 unique mortgage shoppers.


 

Table 7

Overture Mortgage Bids by State

ranked by average bid across the highest four bids

&

Source: Overture, 5/29/03;  *Each state averages 1,270 monthly searches, for a total of 64,000 searches for all 50 states, just 10% of the “mortgage” volume


 

Table 8

Mortgage Keyword Selection

Source: Overture, 5/28/03         (1) Included with the volume in “mortgage”

 

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