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Bank of America Implies that Branch Network Could Shrink 10% in Next Three Years

By Jim Bruene on July 29, 2009 10:41 AM | Comments (1)

imageIn what will surely be the first in a long string of similar headlines, the top of  yesterday's Wall Street Journal Money & Investing section declared:

BofA Plans to Cut 10% of Branches

The article, which has been picked up by nearly 100 news sites in the past 24 hours, reported that Bank of America was planning on reducing the size of its 6,000-branch network. There were no details on timing or whether the bank was retreating from certain markets or was simply pruning overlapping branches broadly.

But in later interviews with bank execs, it sounded like Bank of America was merely predicting a gradual shrinkage in its branch network over the next three years, and had no firm plans for specific closures. Here's a followup quote from president Liam McGee as reported by Charlotte NPR station WFAE:

"I think <CEO Lewis> was asked a question, 'Boy, could there be x-percentage less branches in the next few years?' And he was just saying, 'Yeah, could be, and if there was it would be in magnitude of this as opposed to a much higher number.'"

McGee says the bank is going through a 3-year evaluation process that could result in fewer branches, but that no particular number is targeted. He says customers' changing habits are driving the process.

What I found more interesting in the debate were some of the numbers the bank tossed out showing the growth of it's non-branch delivery:

  • Nearly 50% of deposits are made in ATMs...up amazingly from 33% six months ago. The bank didn't say whether this was NUMBER of deposits or VALUE of deposits, but it's likely the former. Also, it's unclear if remote deposits made via scanner are included in the total. That new technology is making a significant dent in branch-based deposits at many financial institutions.
  • 2.8 million customers are now using the mobile channel which was introduced in mid-2007. That's an average of about 120,000 new customer per month. However, growth appears to have accelerated slightly this year. In early Feb, the bank said it had 2 million mobile banking customers; so in the past 5.5 month, growth has been just under 150,000 new users per month.   
  • The bank has a 60% market share in online bill payment; an amazing penetration for a bank with 12% of the country's deposits. 

Note:
1. See our Online Banking Report: The Demise of the Branch (April 2006), for more on the long-term trends in the mix of branch and alternative delivery.

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The mass media sure latched onto this story. What started as a "could-be, no-much-worse-than, off-the-cuff, don't-hold-me-to-it" number turned into a hard "10%" real fast. Once the WSJ printed the story, it was as good as Fact.

Here is a more accurate clarification:
http://bit.ly/T1PBq

A question was asked during the call with investors, "What size do you see the branch network being?" Ken Lewis said, "We haven’t decided that." Someone else said, "Can you envision it being 10% smaller?" and Ken Lewis said, "Yes, I can envision that."

CNBC was clarifying this fact Tuesday morning around 9AM EDT. And yet I've seen about 15 stories from big, major papers reprinting the headline, "BofA closing 10% of its branches."

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