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Friday Musings: Amazon.com Should Buy Barnes & Noble and Partner with a Direct Bank

By Jim Bruene on September 3, 2010 4:50 PM | Comments (0)

image One of the best things to happen in 20 years of living in northeast Seattle was the opening of Barnes & Noble in our local shopping center, replacing the tired old department store, Lamonts

For this family of readers, the massive, two-store B&N has continued to be a cherished destination for more than a decade. When the boys were young, it was Tuesday night story time (with free fresh-baked chocolate-chip cookies). Later, it was a place to spend their birthday money on new books, music and DVDs. And I've personally bought at least a couple hundred items there over the years. 

But I'm also an Amazon.com fanatic and buy most everything I can there nowadays. My wife and I (though not the boys yet) are ebook addicts, reading on our iThings via the Kindle app (note 1).  So, I'm more than a little concerned about our neighborhood Barnes & Noble. Printed books and other media, along with CDs/DVDs, are on their way out, so is there any hope of keeping the neighborhood B&N in business?  

Musing 1: B&N Rescued by Amazon.com
Here's my dream: Amazon buys Barnes & Noble, perhaps partnering with a major financial services brand (note 2), and turns it into a fully online/mobile channel-integrated super store. Amazon's major online departments could be recreated within the massive B&N footprint: the book store, of course, electronics, music, movies/TV, toys, home and garden, shoes, and so on.

High-volume goods would be stocked and available for purchase. Consumers could also pick up goods ordered via online/mobile enabling same-day delivery for many items. But the main focus of the store would be self-service online shopping. Shoppers in the shoe department, for example, could see and hold various styles, but would place an order through a mobile app or online kiosk, to get their specific size delivered to the store or their home. The concept would be to showcase a wide variety of items without incurring the costs of holding massive inventory within the store.

Musing 2: Amazon Financial Centers Installed within the Super Stores
Though I'm not a huge fan of branches, they still have their place. Amazon could turn a corner of the store into a financial services center. The center would feature deposit-taking ATMs to handle those pesky checks and would have a financial specialist or two on hand to help customers with mortgages and other high-touch financial needs (no transaction activity, however).

Financial center staffers could also be incented to help drive users to co-branded Amazon loyalty programs with online and in-store sales diverted from credit cards to ACH/debit, saving the company tens of millions in annual interchange. Financing big-ticket items could also create a massive new revenue stream for the retailer.   

While the financial operations could be private-branded under the Amazon name (e.g., Sears), it would probably make more sense to partner with a major direct financial services company such as ING Direct, Citibank, or Schwab, or an international giant such as Standard Chartered, Barclays, or OCBC which would gain a major footprint in the United States with 700+ strategically located mini-branches (notes 3, 4).

It's not going to happen, Amazon is a Wall St. darling as a pure-play ecommerce company, but for the sake of the neighborhood, I wish it would.

-------------------------------------------------

Notes on the the business case (see huge caveat, note 5): 
In this simplistic proposal, I'm ignoring a zillion issues which are beyond the scope of this blog. For example, would existing B&N leases even support Amazon's product mix? But to an outsider, it looks enticing for the following reasons.

  • B&N is currently valued at less than $900 million and change after a recent run-up after it announced that it was for sale (note 6). In comparison, Amazon's is worth $62 billion today. As a matter of fact, its market cap has grown $7 bil since I started this post a couple weeks ago, enough to buy seven Barnes & Nobles. Clearly, Amazon could afford it, though whether shareholders would support it is another matter.
  • Merging with B&N would take out one of Amazon's major competitors, theoretically allowing the company to boost prices. With $25 billion in revenues, a quarter-percent (25-basis point) price increase at Amazon would add $60 million to the bottom line.
  • In-store pickups could help reduce Amazon's massive shipping expense. 
  • And while B&N isn't currently generating a profit, it was operating cash-flow positive during the past 12 months (+$120 million).
  • Amazon could partner with other direct commerce companies to spread the risk. The financial services mini-stores alone could bring in $100 million annually assuming a $10,000 per month rent/rev share per location (note 3). And other retailers might also be interested in mini-stores within the big Amazon box: Microsoft, Dell, Sony, HP, Drugstore.com, and so on.   

Other notes:
1. While I consume almost all fiction digitally, I still like to buy printed business books to keep on the reference shelf. I find it easier to remember they exist that way. Even my semi-Luddite brother has jumped on the Kindle bandwagon at the new $139 price point.  
2. I mostly added this to justify posting it here. Ironically, this strategy is almost the polar opposite of our Online Banking Report: Creating the Amazon.com of Financial Services originally published in 1998 then updated in 2000 (more recent summary here). 
3. I'm not including another 600+ B&N locations on college campuses, because many of those would not be a good fit for financial services and/or the schools would not allow a competing financial provider on campus.
4. Adding financial stores to Barnes & Noble retail locations could be problematic if the leases prohibit banking operations due to exclusive deals with other banks in the shopping center.
5. Caveat: Although I do have an MBA, my balance-sheet reading skills are quite rusty. And I don't have an ounce of retailing experience (outside banking), so please realize this is primarily conjecture on my part. 
6. There's also another billion in long-term debt and other obligations.

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A Year's Worth of Fake ATM Receipts for $15

By Jim Bruene on January 24, 2007 10:08 AM | Comments (0)

Fake ATM receipt example CLICK TO ENLARGEFor something completely off-topic, here's a niche service that couldn't have existed prior to the Internet.

Four-year-old Custom Receipts.com (screenshot below, link here) will create a year's worth of personalized fake ATM receipts. For $15 + $1.50 shipping, with payment via PayPal, you receive 52 ATM slips printed on thermal paper and dated every Friday for a year. 

The receipt includes your name, the last four digits of your account number, a withdrawal amount and closing balance of your choosing. The example shown on its homepage shows a balance of $629,112.23 with a paltry withdrawal of $60 (see inset above). They ought to up that to at least 3 Benjamins for credibility.

At $15 per order, the site operator won't get rich, but it's a clever idea and hopefully all in good fun. In an email exchange with the owner, who prefers to remain anonymous, he said that he previously offered to produce any personalized receipt. Intended to be used as a joke, he shut down the service after receiving numerous requests for items obviously intended to defraud employers or insurance companies. 

Custom Receipts fake ATM generator

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Categories: ATMs, Kiosks, Off-topic

47 Questions for Your Email Service Provider

By Jim Bruene on March 3, 2003 7:46 PM | Comments (0)

Anyone with an electronic messaging program should consider outsourcing it. The escalating spam war has made it much harder to do the job correctly with in-house resources. To assist with the decision process, we’ve listed 47 questions unique to email distribution that you’ll want to add to your usual due-diligence questionnaire. And we HIGHLY recommend MarketingSherpa’s “U.S. Buyer’s Guide to Broadcast Email Distribution Services.” It contains a couple dozen pages of advice and more than 400 pages of vendor responses to its 210-question due-diligence survey. More than 50 vendors are profiled (see Table , below). The guide, published in Nov. 2002, is available for US$200 at www.sherpastore.com .

Table 1

Established Email Distribution Vendors*

Accucast/Socketware
ActionMessage
Avalon Digital Marketing Systems
Bigfoot Interactive
Bluestreak
BoldFish
Britemoon
Cable & Wireless USA, Inc.
CC Communications, Inc.
CheetahMail Inc.
CoolerEmail, Inc.
Customer Paradigm
Digital Connexxions
Digital Impact
dockside.net Inc.
DoubleClick
e-Dialog
EmailLabs
ExactTarget
Experian (Exactis)
Ezine Manager
Fishbowl, Inc.
FreeRun Technologies
GotMarketing
iMakeNews
Inbox360
L-Soft international, Inc.
Lyris Technologies
M4Internet
Mailer Mailer, LLC
Neighborhood Email
NewWorldIQ
Outrider
Postfuture
PostMasterDirect (Netcreations)
Responsys
Silverpop
SKYLIST Email Solutions, Inc.
SparkLIST
STEdb
SubscriberMail (Create-It)
TailoredMail
TargetX
TMXinteractive, Inc.
Topica, Inc
Topik Solutions Inc
VerticalResponse, Inc.
Warp 9 Inc.
WhatCounts, Inc.
Whitehat Interactive
Xpedite
Yesmail


 

 

Source: www.MarketingSherpa.com , 2/13/03  *To be included on this list, the company must meet all the following criteria: been in the email distribution business for at least 1 year; be U.S. based; host the technology themselves; mail services must be a significant portion of the company’s revenues; have a full-time spam/privacy officer; have at least 7 employees; send at least 5 million messages per month or have at least 25 clients

 


 

System

 

1.       How many servers send email and at what volume?

2.       How is email prioritized among clients?

3.       How long after hitting submit will it go out?

Message Design

4.       Can we send multipart/alternative (text/HTML) messages?

5.       Can we send plain text without HTML?

6.       Can we send HTML without plain text?

7.       Can we schedule the email to go out at a certain time?

8.       Can we use our own domain in the FROM address, or are we limited to one of yours?

9.       Can we configure the return-path to be our domain?

10.    Can we configure the REPLY TO address to go directly to our customer service?

11.    Do you have to know in advance what type of email format the recipient can receive?

12.    Does the system make assumptions about format, or does it send multi-part or mimed messages that help you deliver HTML to more recipients?

13.    Can we send rich media messages?

14.    Can you auto-detect rich media plugins so we automatically send the highest level the computer can support without requesting the recipient accept a plug-in or download?

15.    How many fields can we personalize in a mail-merge message?

16.    Can we set up variable content based on data in a database, e.g., branch-specific information to customers of that branch?

17.    Can we send messages based on action, inaction, time period, specific user requests, and so on?

Spam

18.    Do you have a full-time person handling blacklist and spam problems?

19.    Are you whitelisted with the major ISPs (Yahoo, AOL, Hotmail, etc.)?

20.    What happens if we get spam complaints?

21.    What happens if an ISP blocks our messages?

22.    Have you ever terminated a client for spamming?

23.    How fast do you typically get removed from a blacklist?

List Services and Hosting

24.    Do you host the list or do we update it
each time?

25.    Do you provide automatic unsubscribe capture?

26.    What are the options for downloading data to append to other databases or import into reporting tools?

27.    Do you provide de-duping services?
On what basis?

28.    How many data fields can you store?

29.    What are the options for splitting the list for A/B testing?

Click-Through Data

30.    Is it stored at the aggregate level or can you produce a report of each individual who clicked on something?

31.    Can you track links using meaningful names, not just the gibberish the system appends to the link?

32.    Can you track the same destination URL multiple times from the same message, so we know, for example, if the user clicked on the button or the link?

33.    Do you help us track HTML opens?

Bounces

34.    Do you provide bounce reporting?

35.    How many times do you try an address with non-permanent errors?

36.    Can we configure the interval for resends?

37.    How do you manage bounces so you can recover addresses?

38.    Do you flag bounced addresses so they are not counted as valid emails sent in reports?

Reply Management

39.    What are the options for sorting and/or forwarding mail going to addresses you own or manage?

Forms and Surveys

40.    (If the firm hosts the list) Do you help with sign up forms?

41.    Can we build custom questions?

Referrals/Viral Marketing

42.    Do you track referrals?

43.    Do you link the referee to the referred?

44.    What is the referral process for the end-user?

45.    How many forwards does the system track?

46.    How are referred names flagged in the database?

Are referred names protected, so they are not emailed without permission?  

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Categories: Off-topic

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